According
to the
RBC Cash
Index,
confidence
dropped
to a
mark of
29.5 in
April,
down
from
33.1 in
March.
The new
reading
was the
worst
since
the
index
began in
2002. It
marked
the
fourth
month in
a row
where
confidence
has
fallen
to an
all-time
low.
"Consumers
are very
pessimistic,"
said
Mark
Vitner,
economist
at
Wachovia.
"There
are not
a lot of
happy
campers
out
there."
Over
the past
year,
consumer
confidence
has
deteriorated
significantly.
Worsening
problems
in
housing,
harder-to-get
credit,
financial
turmoil
on
Wall
Street
and
lofty
energy
prices
have put
people
in a
much
more
gloomy
mind-set.
Last
April,
confidence
stood at
85.4.
The
index is
based on
results
from the
international
polling
firm
Ipsos.
All
the
economy's
problems
are
taking a
toll on
President
Bush's
approval
ratings,
too. The
public's
approval
rating
on his
economic
stewardship
fell to
a low of
27
percent,
according
to a
separate
Associated
Press-Ipsos
poll.
Bush's
overall
job-approval
rating
dipped
to 28
percent,
also an
all-time
low, the
poll
said.
Many
economists
believe
the
country
has
tipped
into its
first
recession
since
2001.
Federal
Reserve
Chairman
Ben
Bernanke
for the
first
time
acknowledged
last
week
that a
recession
was
possible.
It was a
rare
public
utterance
of the
"r" word
by a Fed
chief.
"Consumer
sentiment
is
tracking
at
levels
we think
are
consistent
with a
mild
recession
at this
point,"
said
Brian
Bethune,
economist
at
Global
Insight.
A
measure
looking
at
consumer's
feelings
about
current
economic
conditions
slipped
to a
54.6 in
April,
from
54.7 in
March.
The new
reading
was the
lowest
in six
years of
records.
Rising
unemployment
and job
losses
are
making
people
more
uneasy.
The
government
reported
last
week,
that
employers
slashed
80,000
jobs in
March,
the most
in five
years
and the
third
straight
month
where
the
nation's
payrolls
were
cut. The
unemployment
rate
jumped
from 4.8
percent
to 5.1
percent,
the
highest
since
the
aftermath
of the
devastating
Gulf
Coast
hurricanes.
Another
factor
blamed
for
eroding
consumer
confidence
is high
gasoline
prices,
which
are
socking
people's
wallets
and
pocketbooks.
That's
squeezing
already
strained
budgets
and
leaving
people
with
less
money to
spend on
other
things.
"Much
of the
angst
we're
seeing
from
consumers
is
`Gosh,
I'm
working
harder
and
harder,
and all
I'm
doing is
paying
for my
basic
necessities.
I don't
have
anything
left to
have any
fun,'"
Vitner
said.
Gasoline
prices,
which
have set
a string
of
records
in
recent
weeks,
climbed
to a new
record
of
$3.357 a
gallon
on
Thursday,
according
to AAA
and the
Oil
Price
Information
Service.
Anxiety
also has
grown as
people
wonder
if there
is any
relief
in sight
for the
troubled
housing
market.
With the
housing
collapse,
many
people
have
watched
their
single-biggest
asset —
their
home —
drop in
value.
That has
made
them
feel
less
wealthy
and less
inclined
to
spend.
Against
the
backdrop
of all
these
concerns,
another
measure
tracking
individuals'
sentiments
about
the
economy
and
their
own
financial
standing
over the
next six
months
fell
deeper
into
negative
territory.
This
gauge
dropped
to a
negative
48.3 in
April,
down
from a
negative
41.6 in
March.
The new
reading
was the
worst on
record.
A
measure
on
consumers
feelings
about
employment
conditions
fell to
97 in
April,
from
99.2 in
March.
The new
reading
was the
lowest
since
early
October
2003.
Another
gauge of
attitudes
about
investing,
including
comfort
in
making
major
purchases,
declined
to 56.4
in
April,
from
56.7 in
March.
The new
figure
was the
lowest
on
records
going
back to
2002.
Economists
keep
close
tabs on
confidence
barometers
for
clues
about
consumer
spending,
a major
shaper
of
overall
economic
activity.
Cautious
shoppers
gave
most
retailers
their
most
dismal
March in
13
years,
according
to sales
figures
reported
by major
retailers
on
Thursday.
J.C.
Penney
Co.,
Gap Inc.,
and
Limited
Brands
Inc.
were
among
the
merchants
hit by a
sharp
drop in
sales.
The
RBC
consumer
confidence
index
was
based on
the
responses
from
1,005
adults
surveyed
Monday
through
Wednesday
about
their
attitudes
on
personal
finance
and the
economy.
Results
of the
survey
had a
margin
of
sampling
error of
plus or
minus 3
percentage
points.
The
overall
confidence
index is
benchmarked
to a
reading
of 100
in
January
2002,
when
Ipsos
started
the
survey.
Pointing
to the
overall
confidence
reading
of 29.5
in
April,
T.J.
Marta, a
fixed-income
strategist
at
RBC
Capital
Markets,
said:
"What
confidence?
There is
no
confidence.
It's
like
1929."